3 ms·
The paper you cite is dated 2013 and says SLR has been 3mm/year since the 1990s. It mentions the possibilities of more dramatic rises by 2100 but doesn't go int
by nealabq 7y ago
The paper you cite is dated 2013 and says SLR has been 3mm/year since the 1990s. It mentions the possibilities of more dramatic rises by 2100 but doesn't go into much detail.
If we're talking about a meter of SLR in the next 80 years, thats 12.5mm/year.
- todd8 7y agoI'd like to understand this better. Do you have a scientific citation for 12.5mm yr until 2100? Here's the latest from the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration[1]. It is a graph that shows with 95% confidence there has been a 2.42mm/year SLR for Key West from 1913 to 2018, the most recent information on their site for sea level trends. When I look at the graph, it looks quite linear over that time period, that spans from before significant anthropomorphic CO2 to the current period of hockey-stick temperatures. I don't see the evidence for expecting 12.5mm/yr, but I'm not a climate scientist. I'm ready to call BS on the Bloomberg article, but I'm open to hearing more information on this. [1] https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends_station.shtml?id=8724580 https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends_station....
- nealabq 7y agoThe paper you cited above calls 20, 39 and 59 inches of SLR by 2100 the low, intermediate and high scenarios. And 39 inches is close to a meter. But since the paper is from 2013 I should have used 87 years. So 1000mm/87yrs = 11.5mm/yr, a little more optimistic than 12.5mm/yr.