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"Additionally, the IPCC notoriously makes their predictions algorithmically based purely on existing observations and doesn't take feedback loops into account."
by merpnderp 7y ago
"Additionally, the IPCC notoriously makes their predictions algorithmically based purely on existing observations and doesn't take feedback loops into account."
This is not even close to true. The UAH and RSS global temperature sets have shown rock solid rates of change of around ~.13C/decade for 40 years. Yet the IPCC predicts much higher rates of change in the near future (the only possible way to get to >+2C/century).
You can't just wave your hands and say the IPCC hasn't considered all the possible outcomes better than you. What you're doing is FUD, what they're doing is science.
- chrisco255 7y agoSort of. Modeling and predictions are just part of science. The IPCC never throws out bad models, they just average all the models together.
- merpnderp 7y agoIt's nothing like that awful. Like I couldn't just come up with a model tomorrow and have it approved and averaged - there are absolutely standards to be met. And the IPCC reports go into great detail on the differences in the models and why they predict different outcomes.
- chrisco255 7y agoA model is a hypothesis. It doesn't matter how much work goes into an incorrect hypothesis. If it doesn't align with reality, then it must be thrown out. The scientific method demands this. But the IPCC continues to use an average of dozens of models.
- merpnderp 7y agoCan you point out which models which have been shown to be provably false are still being averaged? I think the answer is far more complicated than you're making it.
- noiv 7y agoWell, how many humans live at the altitude measured by UAH and RSS?