Not quite. It's a fact of statistics that sometimes you'll sample extraordinary evidence for a hypothesis that's false. Check out this paper for some examples:

Not quite. It's a fact of statistics that sometimes you'll sample extraordinary evidence for a hypothesis that's false. Check out this paper for some examples: http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/research/published/PPS551642_REV2.pdf http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/research/published/PPS5....