3 ms·

Dermatologists and radiologists will not be replaced by AI any time soon - for precisely these reasons. Geoffrey Hinton personally saying "we should stop train

• ska 7y ago
  Your broad point is true, but radiology is an odd and relatively new specialty. It's not going away entirely any time soon but I think will be the most radically affected over the next 20 odd years.
  • catoc 7y ago
    It will indeed radically change; and radiologists not-using-AI will be replaced by those who do. However the profession itself will only increase in influence as the radiologists become more and more clinically involved. If they take on the responsibility of employing and regulating medical imaging AI, more radiologists rather than fewer will be needed.
    • ska 7y ago
      I think that "if" is fairly large, and hasn't been resolved yet. I can also see a future with more and more imaging work being done by not-radiologists or hyphenated ones. I guess we'll see. Bear in mind that there have been some effective ML approaches in radiology (for certain tasks) for decades now and the radiologists themselves have been among the largest hurdles to getting them into clinical use. How they respond to broader and more powerful incursions into "their" space will probably have a significant effect on what their future role(s) and scope are. I guess what I'm saying is that we can predict a big growth in the consumption of imaging (and other signal) data by clinicians in the next decades, but it is far less clear if the percentage of that mediate through radiology will remain anywhere near as high as it is now.
      • catoc 7y ago
        I certainly agree to your comment on that "if". Up to now there has been a lot of talk and very little actual action. Although I don't think that it's because of conservative protective resistance - at least not in academia. The main issue is not knowing where and how to start. We'll see indeed who will 'win'. Let's hope it's not the Amazon's and Google's of this world