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For fun, I put together http://isitrecession.com http://isitrecession.com, in the spirit of https://isitchristmas.com https://isitchristmas.com It just shows t

by iamwil 7y ago

For fun, I put together http://isitrecession.com http://isitrecession.com, in the spirit of https://isitchristmas.com https://isitchristmas.com It just shows the inverted yield curve, pulling down data from the US treasury everyday, and subtracting the 1 year from the 10 year interest rate.

bhouston 7y ago
What defines a recession? Contraction of business right? Not just inverted yeild curve.
nodesocket 7y ago
Can you also plot the S&P 500 (SPY) either overlayed or below the yield curve graph. Would be interesting to correlate.
- iamwil 7y ago
  Will do.
  - novaRom 7y ago
    You can also add frequency of words like 'recession', 'downturn', etc. You may count them on different news sites. I did it like 15 years ago, it was a lot of fun.