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QI predicts you’ll still be alive in 1M years with 100% probability. Not-QI puts that probability lower. So if you are still alive in 1M years that’s evidence
by akvadrako 7y ago
QI predicts you’ll still be alive in 1M years with 100% probability. Not-QI puts that probability lower.
So if you are still alive in 1M years that’s evidence of QI. Basic Bayesian reasoning.
- kgwgk 7y agoOr you are just lucky. It all depends on the prior probability, even if you are eager to misapply Bayesian reasoning.
- akvadrako 7y agoI'm not sure what point you are trying to make. It's still a different physical prediction and evidence of QI over non-QI. You can always just be lucky; maybe gravity causes the Earth to move randomly and we've just been lucky to see if orbiting the sun for the past few years.
- kgwgk 7y agoSo the physical prediction is that I will never die, unlike the alternative physical prediction that I will die at some point. And therefore every second I remain alive is evidence for the MWI. If not having died before makes you think you're immortal more power to you. I don't find that reasonable.