Ah, but is it a single sample, or multiple repeated samples at times t subscript n, with several negative observations and (at least) one positive? Indeed, po

Ah, but is it a single sample, or multiple repeated samples at times t subscript n, with several negative observations and (at least) one positive? Indeed, posit n repeated trials over a given time line, it seems equally implausible that an observation of a positive outcome earlier in the timeline contains no information on implied probabilities relative to a positive observation occurring later in the time lines.