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> When management does demonstrate credibility, Wall Street's usually more than happy to let them focus on long-term initiatives. Just look at Amazon, which is
by owens99 7y ago
> When management does demonstrate credibility, Wall Street's usually more than happy to let them focus on long-term initiatives. Just look at Amazon, which is a darling of the investment community, trusted to steer nearly a trillion dollars in shareholder capital. Bezos has continuously poured huge resources into long-term speculative initiatives at the expense of quarterly earnings. And he's loved by shareholders for it, because he has a history of competence and putting company interests above personal ones.
I'm sure this perspective is not correct.
You are pointing out something that exists, but your argument about why it exists is misguided.
Bezos can do this because he is a Founding CEO. I recommend reading Andreessen Horowitz's primary thesis on why they invest in Founding CEOs (https://a16z.com/2010/04/28/why-we-prefer-founding-ceos/ https://a16z.com/2010/04/28/why-we-prefer-founding-ceos/).
Founding CEOs, as opposed to Professional CEOs, have two things working for them: 1) Moral Authority 2) An Ability to Recognize New Product Cycles.
1) Moral Authority: It's not that shareholders trust Bezos more than anyone else. It's that he has Moral Authority to take risks because he founded the company. Per Ben Horowitz:
"Often, true innovation requires throwing out many of the foundational assumptions of the company. If the company is significant, doing so may be extremely difficult for the professional CEO. The company’s core belief system is often entangled in those assumptions. Since the founding CEO made the assumptions in the first place, it is much easier for her. An excellent example of existing, invalid assumptions paralyzing a whole set of companies recently played out in the music industry."
2) Ability to Recognize New Product Cycles: This is a skill professional CEOs simply don't have. Again, per Ben Horowitz:
"Founding CEOs naturally take a long view of their companies. The company is their life’s work. Their emotional commitment exceeds their equity stake. Their goal from the start is to build something significant. They instinctively know that big product cycles come from investment and that even the biggest product cycles will eventually fade. Professional CEOs, on the other hand, tend to be driven by relatively shorter-term goals. They are paid in terms of stock options that vest over 4 years and cash bonuses for quarterly and yearly performance."
So in essence, what you are saying, that public companies have the ability to be like Bezos, is simply not true and never will be true. This is why something like the LTSE is a needed experiment.
- polishTar 7y agoIf you object to the Amazon example because the CEO was also the founder, there are many other examples of extremely long-term focused companies where that isn't true. A really good example is Uber. Honestly, Uber is probably far too long-term focused and it'd be better if Wall St punished them more. It's pretty hard to accuse Wall St of being short-term focused on that one. That said, I totally agree with you that experimentation is good, and the LTSE is a valuable experiment. Maybe we can learn something from it, even if it's worse than what we already have.
- beambot 7y agoUber has long term aspirations, but it is barely a tween on the scale of long-term companies. It's still unproven in the long term to serve as a good example.
- polishTar 7y agoUber is a good example in that the $54B+ valuation by Wall Street is in spite of the company's enormous short term losses. Whether or not Wall St is right about Uber's future prospects, I think it's a pretty clear (non-Amazon) example of them ignoring the short-term and looking at the long-term potential. Frankly, they're probably overestimating the future opportunity of Uber, at least in my opinion. Wall St is not the only-focused-on-the-short-term boogie man that some people would make you think. It's a very convenient excuse for some (typically poorly performing) CEO's, but it really isn't the case.