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> Likewise, we're supposed to assume that there is something magical about our prior assumptions? Why? Because that's how the math works. It isn't possible to
by Filligree 7y ago
> Likewise, we're supposed to assume that there is something magical about our prior assumptions? Why?
Because that's how the math works. It isn't possible to compute a posterior without first having a prior, so you have to decide on a prior somehow.
You can dress it up and try to hide it, but you can't avoid Bayes' theorem forever.
- wnoise 7y agoWell, you can report odds ratios (or their log).
- Filligree 7y agoThat's good advice in general, but doesn't really answer the question of "How likely is it?".
- wnoise 7y agoRight, because you can't answer that without prior information. Log-odds is a step towards giving a function of prior information (but it is limited to the actual class of hypotheses investigated).