I am not sure Maudlin's example of counterfactual causal reasoning is counterfactual -- though, for all I know, it might be rung-three causal reasoning by Pearl

I am not sure Maudlin's example of counterfactual causal reasoning is counterfactual -- though, for all I know, it might be rung-three causal reasoning by Pearl's definition. All the subject seems to be doing is searching the tree of possible outcomes in order to select the most desirable one. She could only say “had I let go of the lamp it would have shattered” after having chosen an alternative course of action and then done it, and by then, of course, it can have no causal role in the decision-making.