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Are you sure? "People named Robert" is about 1% of the relevant population (15-25 year old men) since ~0.5% of people born in that birth range were named Robert
by DuskStar 7y ago
Are you sure? "People named Robert" is about 1% of the relevant population (15-25 year old men) since ~0.5% of people born in that birth range were named Robert, and while AR-15 pattern rifles are extremely common I'm not sure what proportion of them are actually called that.
From this data [0] there were 248 people killed by rifles - all rifles, of any kind - and 660 killed by "personal weapons", a category that includes "hands, fists, feet, etc." in the US in 2014. Assuming people named "Robert" kill people at the same rate as other male names, that would be 6.6 murders - so let's round down and call it 6 to account for the occasional "not hands" killing. That would mean that for AR-15 murders to match "Robert's hands" murders you'd need ~3% of rifle murders to be with that gun.
So it seems plausible to me that the two are closely comparable.
0: https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2016/06/fbi-homicide-data-by-weapon.html https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2016/06/fb...