Bayesian reasoning? How many times do you touch the stove before you get cynical and expect hot stoves to hurt? Desiccant/absorption dehumidifiers are nothing

Bayesian reasoning? How many times do you touch the stove before you get cynical and expect hot stoves to hurt? Desiccant/absorption dehumidifiers are nothing new. I've been around the block enough times to recognize the hype cycle. The motivation of the inventor seems pure, and the first order analysis seems to make sense. Dehumidifiers do indeed pull water out of the air, so it seems plausible that this tech could one day be used to quench the thirst of people living in deserts. The moller skycar scam has gone on for decades in no small part due to how reasonable it sounds. We know machines can fly, so why not a road-worthy aircraft? On the surface it makes sense, so the scam finds plenty of marks. But the devil is in the details.