4 ms·
If you have a 4th & 2 from your own 10 in the first quarter, go for it! No matter what the math says, no coach will do this (save for maybe Billichek, but even
by waterside81 16y ago
If you have a 4th & 2 from your own 10 in the first quarter, go for it!
No matter what the math says, no coach will do this (save for maybe Billichek, but even he's not that bold). Sports is one of those areas where the "gut" and conventions are more important than stats and probabilities. Moneyball is a great book for anybody whose interested in the intersection of sports conventions and math.
http://www.amazon.com/Moneyball-Art-Winning-Unfair-Game/dp/0393057658 http://www.amazon.com/Moneyball-Art-Winning-Unfair-Game/dp/0...
- Anechoic 16y agoI don't know if Belichick has done it from his own ten (I doubt it) but on 4-and-1 or 4-and-inches in his own territory he's gone for it on several occasions (usually a quarterback sneak).
- microtherion 16y agoActually, there was an article a while ago about a high school coach who NEVER punted or tried a field goal: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2009/writers/jon_wertheim/09/17/no.punt/index.html http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2009/writers/jon_wertheim/0... I've read Moneyball, and I find it interesting that statistical methods have been accepted so much more in baseball over the last decade or so, but seem to still be shunned in football, at least for this particular situation.