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For me, what triggered it was noticing several startling graphs that all seemed to show a) something sudden, b) at the same time. I started collecting such grap
by dTal 7y ago
For me, what triggered it was noticing several startling graphs that all seemed to show a) something sudden, b) at the same time. I started collecting such graphs. It appears the author of this website has done the same. Note that all the "commentary" is embedded in the images - there's no indication that the webmaster has any agenda beyond mine (although the various graph publishers might).
I don't really understand your question about throwing out graphs that don't show a phase-change. There are infinite unrelated graphs. "But, your honor, consider all these photos of my client not murdering the deceased!"
- bobwaycott 7y ago> I don't really understand your question about throwing out graphs that don't show a phase-change. There are infinite unrelated graphs. Unrelated in what sense? Your example seems a bit of a straw man. What other graphs of economic activity and change do not show a significant and sudden shift at ~1971 (is what I think the parent is asking)?
- asfarley 7y agoYes, this is what I meant. To be clear, I'm not accusing anyone of intentionally being misleading. But consider this process: 1) Notice an inflection 2) Search through a near-infinite number of economic indicators 3) Select those other indicators bearing an inflection-point This is very non-Baysian.
- asfarley 7y agoWell it sounds strange the way you say it, but video evidence of someone not committing a crime is often a pretty good alibi, right?