4 ms·
The WSJ is grossly incompetent when it comes to polling. https://si.wsj.net/public/resources/images/OG-AI628_100616_G_20161106085936.jpg https://si.wsj.net/pub
by julienreszka 7y ago
The WSJ is grossly incompetent when it comes to polling.
https://si.wsj.net/public/resources/images/OG-AI628_100616_G_20161106085936.jpg https://si.wsj.net/public/resources/images/OG-AI628_100616_G...
https://www.wsj.com/articles/hillary-clinton-leads-donald-trump-by-4-points-in-latest-poll-1478440818 https://www.wsj.com/articles/hillary-clinton-leads-donald-tr...
Not only the sample size is wrong but also the method.
Telephone polling is totally inadequate today.
Most people ignore phone calls.
- inimino 7y agoMost people don't understand Bayesian reasoning either, but that doesn't mean we shouldn't. If the polls have no value to you, then you lack the framework to interpret them.
- julienreszka 7y agoThe polls are worthless because not representative why is it so hard to understand?