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> This is all I need to know Perhaps you should update your understanding of how polls work and are to be interpreted... if you think you understand statistics
by inimino 7y ago
> This is all I need to know
Perhaps you should update your understanding of how polls work and are to be interpreted... if you think you understand statistics better than the WSJ, consider that you might be mistaken.
- julienreszka 7y agoThe WSJ is grossly incompetent when it comes to polling. https://si.wsj.net/public/resources/images/OG-AI628_100616_G_20161106085936.jpg https://si.wsj.net/public/resources/images/OG-AI628_100616_G... https://www.wsj.com/articles/hillary-clinton-leads-donald-trump-by-4-points-in-latest-poll-1478440818 https://www.wsj.com/articles/hillary-clinton-leads-donald-tr... Not only the sample size is wrong but also the method. Telephone polling is totally inadequate today. Most people ignore phone calls.
- inimino 7y agoMost people don't understand Bayesian reasoning either, but that doesn't mean we shouldn't. If the polls have no value to you, then you lack the framework to interpret them.
- julienreszka 7y agoThe polls are worthless because not representative why is it so hard to understand?