4 ms·
"WSJ/NBC News telephone poll conducted of 1,000 adults from Aug. 10–14; margin of error +/- 3.1 percentage points" This is all I need to know that this study d
by julienreszka 7y ago
"WSJ/NBC News telephone poll conducted of 1,000 adults from Aug. 10–14; margin of error +/- 3.1 percentage points"
This is all I need to know that this study doesn't have any worth.
The required sample size for statistical significance is at least 8 times larger than this.
- inimino 7y ago> This is all I need to know Perhaps you should update your understanding of how polls work and are to be interpreted... if you think you understand statistics better than the WSJ, consider that you might be mistaken.
- julienreszka 7y agoThe WSJ is grossly incompetent when it comes to polling. https://si.wsj.net/public/resources/images/OG-AI628_100616_G_20161106085936.jpg https://si.wsj.net/public/resources/images/OG-AI628_100616_G... https://www.wsj.com/articles/hillary-clinton-leads-donald-trump-by-4-points-in-latest-poll-1478440818 https://www.wsj.com/articles/hillary-clinton-leads-donald-tr... Not only the sample size is wrong but also the method. Telephone polling is totally inadequate today. Most people ignore phone calls.
- inimino 7y agoMost people don't understand Bayesian reasoning either, but that doesn't mean we shouldn't. If the polls have no value to you, then you lack the framework to interpret them.
- julienreszka 7y agoThe polls are worthless because not representative why is it so hard to understand?