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all of the above, probably. but there was basically zero chance that self-driving cars of the sophistication and scale needed by uber would be widely deployed
by clairity 7y ago
all of the above, probably.
but there was basically zero chance that self-driving cars of the sophistication and scale needed by uber would be widely deployed within 10 years (i'd wildly guess a 50% chance of its existence in 30 years), as anyone employing a critical mind for more than a few minutes could surmise.
- ghaff 7y agoIt seemed obvious to me based on a combination of what some disinterested expert observers were saying and the sort of situations I see driving every day, especially in big cities, needed to get door to door without human intervention. However, you've only had to read this site over the past few years to see the huge number of people who bought the Level 5 is right around the corner story hook line and sinker. In all fairness, I attribute a lot of this to people who so wanted to believe they'd never need to own or drive a car that they weren't as critical as they should have been. I find it "interesting" how quickly the narrative has shifted. A lot of the same people who were more or less making the aggressive promises pretty much all changed their stories in near-unison. One suspects they all knew or had come to known at some level but felt they had to wait for others to back off too lest they be seen as laggards.