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> I bet most of my beliefs are baloney too, but I have no idea which ones they are. This is waaay off thread-topic, but this is very very important to recogniz

• pas 7y ago
  Skepticism, indeed, should be more common. Unfortunately a lot of people fall through into some conspiracy black hole. The proper way to look at this is of course the rationalist/epistemological framework of belief updates (which is better called model fitting). Skepticism is not just doubting everything, it's trying to find the model of the world that consistently maximally fits the data/observations/experiences. China doing brainwashing is consistent, but the moon landing was a hoax is not. (Because that model in which everything is a hoax and the deep state is controlling everything is too simple, so it's useless, kind of like Pascal's wager without the afterlife part.)