A more mundane and perhaps relatable version of this is the relaxation of key automobile driving skills once the operator has become comfortable. It is not unu

A more mundane and perhaps relatable version of this is the relaxation of key automobile driving skills once the operator has become comfortable. It is not unusual to see someone performing maneuvers that are only "safe" under assumptions that cannot be strictly true but are statistically likely to be true (e.g. there is nobody coming the other way around this blind corner, there is no cross traffic this late at night, whatever). I doubt people consciously think of it as a dice-roll every time they do it, but it is. Over time you may get comfortable doing things simply because nothing bad has happened but if the assumption fails you will likely crash.