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The article describes how long-tail outcomes have been excluded from forecasts out of a desire by scientists to present a unified voice so as to minimize percei
by jajag 7y ago
The article describes how long-tail outcomes have been excluded from forecasts out of a desire by scientists to present a unified voice so as to minimize perceived doubt.
- hammock 7y agoThis comment is the real headline. The communication around the models has been manipulated to make the entire body of work seem more confident and consistent than it really is.