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If the world stay where it is today forever, sure. You could well bring up that 30 years ago China is about as wealthy as Africa, and that it is a total non-fa
by Aperocky 7y ago
If the world stay where it is today forever, sure.
You could well bring up that 30 years ago China is about as wealthy as Africa, and that it is a total non-factor in the world economy.
The bottomline is this, China had 1.4 billion people, they will consume, even if they consume 1/4th as much individually, the market will be the same size as of the US. It probably already happened, just that services in China is much cheaper. Out of the 13T consumption that is the US market, how much of it is in the form of goods? You'll probably get the same level of service in China for 1/4 the price. The growth of consumption in China has been consistently greater than the growth of the economy as a whole for the past 10 years, and it'll likely happen in the foreseeable future as China's export shrink and infrastructure spending halts.
- rossdavidh 7y agoYes, all of that. In addition, there is a lot of Chinese money that is going abroad, to buy real estate in Vancouver and etc. If this were all brought home as domestic demand, they would have an even larger market to sell into domestically. But, this requires: 1) that it be spread out a little more evenly, and/or... 2) that the people with the money trust their future in China enough to bring it all home Neither of which is easy. On the other hand, neither is impossible, so it could happen.