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I'm not sure Warren Buffett would agree with you. In a 1975 letter to Katherine Graham, he wrote "If above-average performance is to be their yard stick, the v
by lcuff 7y ago
I'm not sure Warren Buffett would agree with you. In a 1975 letter to Katherine Graham, he wrote "If above-average performance is to be their yard stick, the vast majority of investment managers must fail. Will a few succeed — due to either to chance or skill? Of course. For some intermediate period of years a few are bound to look better than average due to chance — just as would be the case if 1,000 ‘coin managers’ engaged in a coin-flipping contest. There would be some ‘winners’ over a five or 10-flip measurement cycle. (After five flips, you would expect to have 31 with uniformly ‘successful’ records — who, with their oracular abilities confirmed in the crucible of the marketplace, would author pedantic essays on subjects such as pensions.)”
The whole letter is here:
https://d2wsh2n0xua73e.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/160301289-Warren-Buffett-Katharine-Graham-Letter.pdf" https://d2wsh2n0xua73e.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/201...