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Timing the marking is a bad idea, but getting good value for your money is a good idea, and has some element of timing. Don't try to figure out when prices are
by prewett 7y ago
Timing the marking is a bad idea, but getting good value for your money is a good idea, and has some element of timing. Don't try to figure out when prices are low, figure out when value is high. For instance, relatively low P/E, high dividend yield, high ROI, high ROE, etc. If you're looking to invest in an index fund, check out the S&P 500 historical P/E: https://www.macrotrends.net/2577/sp-500-pe-ratio-price-to-earnings-chart https://www.macrotrends.net/2577/sp-500-pe-ratio-price-to-ea...
There's no shame in holding cash when value is low. People like Buffett are known for doing it. There are no called strikes in investing, so don't swing at mediocre pitches. But when value is high, you'd better swing for the fences, because that doesn't happen all that often.
- aoeusnth1 7y agoEarnings are also cyclical, just like prices. Imagine an industry whose earnings are especially sensitive to business cycles. On an upswing of the cycle, they look like a good deal because their P/E might be low, but that's only because the market is reflecting the risk inherent in the industry. After earnings crash during a recession, investing in such a "value" company at the top starts to look like it was a bad idea.