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>weighted average
No, the averages ignore input order. Reality is order dependent.
>weighted average
No, the averages ignore input order. Reality is order dependent.
Weighted averages don't, usually. That's why they aren't best linear unbiased estimators.
So, ARMA/ARIMA? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autoregressive%E2%80%93moving-average_model https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autoregressive%E2%80%93moving-...