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Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence I agree, but we need to be really clear about what the claims are. It could be that there is a reproducibl
by DanielBMarkham 16y ago
Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence
I agree, but we need to be really clear about what the claims are.
It could be that there is a reproducible 1% "mystery" effect that works from future to past, but only in experiments like this. In which case claim wouldn't be extraordinary, it'd just be something we can't understand.
Remember that he's still in the data gathering stage. If -- and it's a big if -- there is any kind of reproducible pattern that doesn't match known laws, that doesn't mean there is a claim. There is simply data that doesn't fit our current models.
That's why people who push frontiers have to be very, very careful about differentiating the data from the claims.
Lots of guys make lots of money with bogus TV shows and books on stuff like this, and it's a shame: many times there is something unusual in the data, but the claims jump far ahead of any reality. Fear of this effect has probably silenced a lot of little tiny pieces of data that wouldn't make sense -- it's simply too much trouble to have to keep explaining yourself. This might be one of the factors explaining Feynman's story of the Millikan oil drop experiment.
- dandelany 16y ago> It could be that there is a reproducible 1% "mystery" effect that works from future to past, but only in experiments like this. In which case claim wouldn't be extraordinary, it'd just be something we can't understand. Erm, no, that would be pretty damn extraordinary. We know of nothing else in the universe that acts like this.
- Confusion 16y agoErm, no, we actually know a lot of things that like this, with 'this' being 'something we can't explain' (talk of sensing or affecting the future is premature speculation on the explanation and irrelevant). To name one: the speed of the Voyager spacecraft. There are a zillion unexplained effects like that one and this one.