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The big one missing is mobile telecommunication/computing. Basically the last most transformative tech since your list is the lithium battery I guess ? And thi
by navaati 7y ago
The big one missing is mobile telecommunication/computing. Basically the last most transformative tech since your list is the lithium battery I guess ?
And this transformative effect keeps on giving, with the transition to renewables and "electrified everything" (such as cars, but not only).
- CharlesColeman 7y ago> The big one missing is mobile telecommunication/computing. The major technological advancements that permitted that are old. Cellular telephone technology dates to the 70s/80s, etc.
- beat 7y agoAnd where will DNA editing be in 40 years?
- CharlesColeman 7y agoThe thesis isn't that major advancements aren't happening, but that they're happening more slowly. Or maybe more accurately, there was an period in the 20th century that is now over where major advancements happened unusually quickly.
- beat 7y agoThat thesis is not well supported by the article, and I didn't see it referencing better-quality material. And it grossly overestimates the speed of changes. My father farmed with a mule in the 1950s.
- tossAfterUsing 7y agonot to bang the trope drum too loudly, but Kurzweil mentions this phenomenon when describing the way that growth looks exponential over a long scale, but feels more like S-curves[1] 1- https://www.slideshare.net/olandri/l03-exponential-world https://www.slideshare.net/olandri/l03-exponential-world