4 ms·
Sports isn't an equation. The human elements by far outweigh the "on paper" strength of the team. Also you never know who is going to get injured or when, so
by joncrane 7y ago
Sports isn't an equation. The human elements by far outweigh the "on paper" strength of the team. Also you never know who is going to get injured or when, so teams will stack their roster. The only thing that stops the biggest teams from having all awesome players is financials (either salary cap/financial fair play, or simple economics)
Look at how the Patriots succeed, for example. On paper, they are nowhere near the best NFL team. But they contend for championships almost every year.
The only example I can think of recently is Kimi Raikkonen in F1. Ferrari paid him his usual salary after removing him from the first team (each team in F1 only has two seats, then sometimes there is a reserve and an additional test driver role, mostly for the simulator). The agreement was they would continue to pay him his regular F1 driver salary, as long as he didn't race for any other F1 team.
He spent a year doing rally, did a couple of NASCAR races, snowmobile, motocross, and came back the following year for Renault.
Funnily enough, a few years later he returned as a first team driver for Ferrari for a few additional years and now races for Alfa Romeo.
His main thing is he hates promotional appearances (stuff like commercials and autograph signings) and restrictions (he has a private motocross track and shop, and he refuses to race for any team that won't let him ride motorcycles and snowmobiles and whatever the F else he wants to do).
- b_tterc_p 7y agoI don’t know much about football but it seems to me that if this is true, then the metrics being tracked on paper are simply subpar. Probably all sports are an equation. Moneyball beinf the obvious example of this. If certain teams consistently win, then it’s not just an equation, but one with a theoretically relatively low variance model.
- rmah 7y agoSports isn't an equation Tell that to Billy Beane, general manager of the Oakland A's, who used statistical analysis and team interaction models (i.e. "equations") to turn propel the team into the top ranks with salary expenses of only 1/3th of the other top teams. The story was described in the book Moneyball and dramatized in the film of the same name.
- citrablue 7y agoThis is a common misconception. Beane did use statistics, but the central point of Moneyball was how he found market inefficiencies and exploited them. Other teams were using statistics as well, but it was Beane who applied market principles. That's basically what early Michael Lewis books were about: exploiting market inefficiencies. (Agree with your larger point about sports, however.)
- blaser-waffle 7y ago> But they contend for championships almost every year. Something something deflated balls cheating deal with satan something