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Self driving cars are 15 years away. The self driving cars will have to deal with the chaotic human drivers, and this will require Strong AI. Once we have thi
by maeon3 16y ago
Self driving cars are 15 years away. The self driving cars will have to deal with the chaotic human drivers, and this will require Strong AI. Once we have this, driving around will be one of the small issues of the day.
- btilly 16y agoSelf driving cars are 15 years away. Google already has them. Seriously. They have been driving on real streets with real people. The only serious incidents that have happened with them is that one got rear-ended by a human while it was stopped, and a journalist noticed them so Google had to admit that they exist.
- queensnake 16y agoNah, not strong AI. A person in a car is much simpler than a full-out person. You have fewer motivations, fewer actions, fewer /states/ (he's confused / drunk) - unless you're playing Death Race 2000 or something. If worse comes to worst you could have human drivers label the worst situations, letting the machine figure out the characteristics letting it predict such a state, and probably there are just a few reactions to many states anyway.
- rimantas 16y agoI hope they are further away. For me a bus is self driving car, but driving a car is also a pleasure not only the means to get from a point A to a point B.
- philwelch 16y agoDriving a car a short distance in light traffic is fun. Driving a car long distances, or in heavy traffic, or in dangerous conditions (snow and ice or heavy rain) is some combination of tedious, exhausting, and stressful.
- orangecat 16y agoTo the extent that that's true (driving in heavy traffic is definitely not fun), balance it against the tens of thousands of people killed in car accidents every year, most of which are due to human error.
- khafra 16y agoPresumably autonomous cars would not replace the ones on closed courses, and you could still enjoy driving a car the way you enjoy all other pleasures which require specialized equipment and facilities.
- erikpukinskis 16y agoAbsolutely. Cars will be the LPs of the 2050's
- lwat 16y agoSelf driving cars are here today. http://nextbigfuture.com/2010/12/sartre-project-ready-to-road-test-car.html http://nextbigfuture.com/2010/12/sartre-project-ready-to-roa...
- feral 16y agoStrong AI is 15 years away? I'm not saying its impossible, but that's pretty ludicrous to state as fact. Even many enthusiastic Strong AI proponents would hesitate to give such an aggressive bound.