By the way, "recession" doesn't mean the same thing as "stock market crash". The definition of a recession requires GDP to go down for two consecutive quarters.

By the way, "recession" doesn't mean the same thing as "stock market crash". The definition of a recession requires GDP to go down for two consecutive quarters. Although there is some correlation it's still completely possible for GDP to go down while the market goes up. So even if you correctly predict a recession, you won't necessarily be able to predict the market.