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Field observations (e.g. glacial melting, CO2 levels, methane levels) tend to be wildly underestimated by the forecasting systems of a few years ago. Resource b
by drallison 7y ago
Field observations (e.g. glacial melting, CO2 levels, methane levels) tend to be wildly underestimated by the forecasting systems of a few years ago. Resource based systems dynamics simulations tend to predict collapse about 2030. We are seeing a species die-off worldwide both in terms of flora and fauna. Fishery collapse, measured by catch-size, is predicted to occur about 2048. David Wallace-Wells's The Uninhabitable Earth: Life after Warming is a frightening summary of what we can expect and is probably not too out-of-date.
In ten years everyone, even current climate change deniers, will be fighting to survive in a much changed world; in thirty, humans may be possibly have gone extinct, or be well on the way to being so.
- luckman212 7y agoWow, just 30 years to global extinction? I just might live to see that! /s
- chrisco255 7y agoThis is absolutely ridiculous. Crop yields are up 40% since 1988, population growth has slowed, there's more energy technology than ever before, and the sea level is rising at a mere 3mm a year. The basic needs for life are food, shelter, and water. For modern life, energy is required. But we have virtually unlimited energy vis-a-vis nuclear technology (if we have the will to use it). Solar tech has gotten only cheaper and cheaper and battery tech has gotten only more efficient. There is absolutely no reason to believe that there will be less than the current population in 10, 20, or even 50 years. Period.
- vladojsem 7y agoWorld population projected to reach 9.7 billion by 2050 (up from the current world population of 7.3 billion). I can't imagine we can extinct, we are the least-threatened of the species living on this planet.