I think that is something that is more true for something like an elite school. They could potentially refine their qualified guesses to make better decision. B

I think that is something that is more true for something like an elite school. They could potentially refine their qualified guesses to make better decision. But there is also a huge long tail of institutions that probably don't make guesses at all. I want to say there is a misconception about what technology does for education as current MOOCs mainly focuses on distribution, rather than what distribution enables which is to invest in what you distribute. But realistically that is probably more about incentives. They just do the easiest thing and effectively ends up giving everyone "reality tv" rather than "game of thrones". What this kind of technology in education also enables is distributing the learning path, the planning or even part of the teaching. You can have hundreds of people spending large resources designing the systems and materials since it can be used by a lot of people, and also can be distributed to where it makes the most difference. Of course it all comes back to the mindset and what reasons you do them for. They whole thing could of course also end up being a mess, or even abusive. But that is the challenge with technology.