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Most of these efforts are aimed at taking advantage of lags in information flow, often within the very trading systems on which the trades are occurring. They a
by vannevar 7y ago
Most of these efforts are aimed at taking advantage of lags in information flow, often within the very trading systems on which the trades are occurring. They are exploits, not essential market-making. Noise, not signal. What's the right timeframe? Something based on the time it takes for humans to reason about a price. Not a day, but certainly not milliseconds, either.
- voldacar 7y agoIf they were noise, they would not be profitable strategies.
- vannevar 7y agoNoise compared to the signal actually needed for a market to function. Markets functioned nicely on much, much longer timeframes in the past.
- infinite8s 7y agoThey also had much higher transaction and information costs.
- ggggtez 7y agoI don't want to get caught up in arguing what is noise in the mathematical sense. I think the parent is refering to the fact that the arbitrage traders are not adding any real value by making these trades this fast. The market would adjust in miliseconds. Who really wants to let some guy who built a 825 mile cable be a rent seeker on every trade for all eternity? https://www.businessinsider.com/chicago-stock-exchange-responding-to-high-speed-traders-2016-8 https://www.businessinsider.com/chicago-stock-exchange-respo...
- wbl 7y agoHe's not a rent seeker. Absent his existence, the people on both sides of the trade would be harmed by crossing a bigger spread.
- mlthoughts2018 7y agoIs the human allowed to use pencil & paper when reasoning about the stock? A graphing calculator? A spreadsheet program? A numerical SDE solver? By what rule do you propose limiting other people’s free choice to use computing resources to accelerate the time scale of reasoning about a price?
- vannevar 7y agoThe "free choice" argument is a charade: the only people with the "freedom" (ie, wealth) to win that race are "people" like Goldman Sachs. On the whole, it's just another legal mechanism for pumping money from the poor to the wealthy. Modern markets could not exist without regulation, which by definition limits freedoms. We're just talking about a sensible regulation that eliminates a pointless misdirection of resources, not unlike laws against gambling.
- gpderetta 7y agoA lot of HTF shops are comparatively tiny companies (in the order of hundreds or less employees). Large hedge funds and investment banks are relatively late players to the game.
- mlthoughts2018 7y agoYou didn’t address my comment at all. This just seems like some unfounded normative assertions about some other thing entirely.
- tomp 7y agoBy “taking advantage of lags in information flow” you’re actually disseminating information and reducing the lag.
- MagnumOpus 7y agoThe social value or reducing the price dissemination lag from a microsecond to 110 ns is zero. Hence why the billions of resources going into it are a greater waste than even bitcoin.