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That may be what you define as a miracle, but there are a lot of people who regard 'coincidences' as meaningful and evidence of synchronicity and the supernatur
by gwern 7y ago
That may be what you define as a miracle, but there are a lot of people who regard 'coincidences' as meaningful and evidence of synchronicity and the supernatural such as ESP/psi, and love to recount stories as proof thereof. (These days, the spooks now have names like 'racism', but the logic is the same.) If you trace Littlewood's law back to the Freeman Dyson essay which coined it ( https://www.gwern.net/Littlewood#origin-of-littlewoods-law-of-miracles https://www.gwern.net/Littlewood#origin-of-littlewoods-law-o... ), you'll find that it's a review of a book titled _Debunked! ESP, Telekinesis, and Other Pseudoscience_. You can easily surmise why the book would go into discussions of how unlikely coincidences are actually likely, but Dyson makes it clear what is being debunked by Littlewood's law:
> The book also has a good chapter on "Amazing Coincidences." These are strange events which appear to give evidence of supernatural influences operating in everyday life. They are not the result of deliberate fraud or trickery, but only of the laws of probability. The paradoxical feature of the laws of probability is that they make unlikely events happen unexpectedly often...
So, since people do regard these coincidences as 'miracles', it is necessary to point out that they would happen frequently in a world completely devoid of any kind of 'supernatural influences', and thus are poor evidence for the supernatural.
- areyousure 7y ago> (These days, the spooks now have names like 'racism', but the logic is the same.) I don't understand what you mean or are referencing here. Can you clarify? I couldn't figure it out from the context. Thanks.
- Koshkin 7y agoAn example of something offered as an explanation (of a phenomenon or an idea), looks like.
- msla 7y ago> (These days, the spooks now have names like 'racism', but the logic is the same.) This is doubly-odd, as "spook" is a racist slur.
- msla 7y agohttps://www.dictionary.com/browse/spook https://www.dictionary.com/browse/spook > When referring to a black person, the term spook dates back to the 1940s. It is used with disparaging intent and is perceived as highly insulting. Black pilots who trained at Tuskegee Institute during World War II were called the Spookwaffe.