> This isn't a weakness in Bayes' rule, it's a weakness in your experimental protocol. You're supposed to pick the prior before doing the experiment and seeing

> This isn't a weakness in Bayes' rule, it's a weakness in your experimental protocol. You're supposed to pick the prior before doing the experiment and seeing the data. Sure, if the goal is to get to something true. If the goal is to publish or to maintain your position, though, you’ll work differently. You don’t even need to have seen the data. If I set my priors for the earth being flat extreme enough, it’ll take a long time for even good faith updating to converge to reality. As I said in another reply, I was simply pointing out that Bayesian analysis can also be abused, and that proper protocols still need to be followed. A point on which I believe we agree. :-)