> we should follow the mantra of the mathematician (and Bayesian) Pierre-Simon [de]* Laplace, that extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence* We shou

> we should follow the mantra of the mathematician (and Bayesian) Pierre-Simon [de]* Laplace, that extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence* We should, but we don't, because we crave extraordinary results and are ready to give up reason to get them. But if it's too good to be true (or too spectacular), it probably is.