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I think many people don't understand how negative rates are possible because they are used to having FDIC insurance for their bank account. The issue is that a
by 1e-9 7y ago
I think many people don't understand how negative rates are possible because they are used to having FDIC insurance for their bank account. The issue is that an entity with billions of dollars to protect (such as a pension fund) cannot rely on the FDIC because of the $250K insurance limit. There are not enough banks in the US to spread billions of dollars across, $250K at a time, even if an entity was willing to manage 10's of thousands of bank accounts. A government bond is generally the safest alternative. When demand for the safest level of protection is high, an entity might be willing to pay for the protection because market conditions make them unwilling to accept greater risk. Personally, I believe this is the main reason for very low rates right now. The big fixed income entities expect an economic downturn. It's just a question of how many months away it is.
- ncallaway 7y agoThis really helps me understand the institutional desire to purchase bonds even at a negative rate (especially when combined with legal requirements around holding safe asset classes). It seems relatively obvious in hindsight, but I was still having a little trouble getting my head around it until I read this. Thanks!