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The example uses it to spot a case where most people are wrong, but some large minority of people expect that most people will answer incorrectly, while themsel
by asark 7y ago
The example uses it to spot a case where most people are wrong, but some large minority of people expect that most people will answer incorrectly, while themselves answering correctly. A large enough difference (10%, in the example case) between the "what do you guess others will answer?" and what people actually answered indicates the majority opinion is, in fact, wrong.