5 ms·
I wonder if this could be viewed as an application of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93
by busfahrer 7y ago
I wonder if this could be viewed as an application of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
- theelous3 7y agoNope. That is overconfidence of the ignorant, and this is dealing with trusting the high confidence of the correct. It doesn't really matter here that people answered incorrectly.
- jobigoud 7y agoI don't think so. It's not saying anything about how highly confident the correct are. It's about how they know that most people are incorrect. It's about misconceptions. There is this core part of the unpopular-but-correct answerers that knows that the incorrect answer is popular. The larger this core part is, the higher the "score" of the "surprisingly popular" answer is. It's about finding something that is "mistakenly popular".
- theelous3 7y agoYeah but this is in the context of not knowing the correct answer. Saying that you believe the popular option is different to yours is a display of high confidence in your own answer, and low confidence in other people's knowledge. Dunning kruger only deals with highly confident wrong people, which isn't the interesting group in our surprisingly popular measurements. Bringing dunning kruger in to it would make more sense if there was an "im not 100% confident" option, but instead it was an absolute dichotomy. It doesn't really mean that all of the people answering incorrectly are completely confident and therefore are dunning krugering. Someone who is not overconfident at 60% confidence adds the same "yes" data point that someone who is 100% confident and wrong does.