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I like the concept of predictions for the same reason. Per Philip Tetlock's relentless crusading on the topic, it at least implies some sense of rigor, measurab
by klenwell 7y ago
I like the concept of predictions for the same reason. Per Philip Tetlock's relentless crusading on the topic, it at least implies some sense of rigor, measurability, and accountability.
This is one of the distinctions I make between predictions and forecasts in a business context (and one I've been trying to impress upon stakeholders in my company.) A prediction implies accountability.
I mean you could attach consequences to a forecast (Tetlock himself likes the term "Superforecasting) and likewise ignore them with predictions. It's all just words in an end and everything is a human construct. But still I haven't given up completely.