4 ms·

I don't think that's true. They'll look out of date in amusing ways, sure, but the particular out-of-dateness that accompanies very early entries in a medium's

I don't think that's true. They'll look out of date in amusing ways, sure, but the particular out-of-dateness that accompanies very early entries in a medium's history, when the technology is very poorly understood, is special. Movies from the 1930s look old-fashioned but they're totally watchable, and the good ones can still be enjoyed. Movies from the 1910s are only worth watching for their historical interest or exoticism.

Encosia 16y ago
The volatility of our medium hasn't decreased at all yet. If anything, it has increased in recent years. There's no way to know what point in the medium's maturation we're presently at; we may be much earlier on the timeline than us early adopters perceive. Just think, IE6 was light years ahead of 1996's state of the art web technologies, and look at IE6 now. Firefox 4, IE9, and Chrome 10 will eventually be just as dated as IE6. The sites designed for them today will probably be horribly broken messes in 2020's latest crop of browsers (which will probably be more prevalently a function of whatever device defaults are by then, ala iOS and Android).