4 ms·

This is a tautology, because if the risk was successfully modelled, it would not be able to kill you.

• alextheparrot 7y ago
  What’s incorrect about accepting a risk that could kill you, such as flying on air planes or becoming a soldier? Another example is going all-in during a poker game, you’re simply saying you’re ok with that severe risk for the corresponding upsides.
  • quirmian 7y ago
    My point is that stating “out of model risks is what kills you” is a tautology. For systems where known risks are modelled, it’s highly likely that any “fatality” or equivalent events are controlled for. If you were to then look at the “fatalities” that occur after that, I would expect them to arise due to risks not currently known or modelled in the system. I make no comment around acceptance of risk, “fatal” or otherwise. :)
• juskrey 7y ago
  Risk not included in your model is still a risk
• vinceguidry 7y ago
  Not necessarily, a risk can be part of the model but not accurately quantified. Having a model doesn't mean it's perfect.