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Tons of housing and higher density appears to be working on London though. https://www.forbes.com/sites/garybarker/2019/07/18/london-house-prices-suffer-worst-
by repolfx 7y ago
Tons of housing and higher density appears to be working on London though.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/garybarker/2019/07/18/london-house-prices-suffer-worst-plunge-in-10-years-but-is-it-all-doom-and-gloom/#39ff97012857 https://www.forbes.com/sites/garybarker/2019/07/18/london-ho...
London has seen extremely high levels of house and apartment building. The market is being flooded with supply, and now prices have fallen 4.4% in the last year. So apparently it's definitely possible for even big global cities to get ahead of demand.
Before someone says this is related to Brexit and not the huge increase in supply, bear in mind that:
• For the whole country prices are still going up.
• That's because in regions outside of London they're going up above inflation, e.g. in the north west they went up 3.4%. But Brexit affects the whole country, so it doesn't work as an explanation.
• Prior claims about "uncertainty" affecting prices didn't pan out. Government economists claimed in 2016 that "uncertainty" would be such a strong effect it would cause a massive recession, instead the economy grew at a strong rate and unemployment hit record lows.
So it seems pretty clear to me that the simple, well understood economic explanation of supply and demand is sufficient to explain these results. New York could probably achieve the same thing if it built enough homes.
- GlennS 7y agoIt seems plausible to me that Brexit would cause lower house prices in London without affecting the rest of the country. 1. London has (had?) a lot of immigration from the EU. 2. London's economy is very connected to the EU. Lots of European companies use London's financial and business services. Don't want to argue against your overall point, however.
- verbify 7y agoIt might be that London house prices were already overinflated - look at a comparison between London house prices and the rest of the UK: https://d1btnptfa0r0eu.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/160125-house-prices.png https://d1btnptfa0r0eu.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/201... I don't disagree with the substance of your point, but London is far from a watertight argument.