3 ms·
Wow, that Sally Clark story is tragic. They fell hook line and sinker into the old Feynman numberplate trap [1]. The insanity of it would almost be funny, if so
by reitzensteinm 16y ago
Wow, that Sally Clark story is tragic. They fell hook line and sinker into the old Feynman numberplate trap [1]. The insanity of it would almost be funny, if someone's life wasn't destroyed as a result.
Had they restated the odds as "every ten years in the UK on average, one woman is going to be unlucky enough to have this happen to them", instead of essentially "there's a 1 in 73 million chance this was a coincidence", I can't imagine a conviction on that alone.
And that's assuming that, once you'd had one baby die of SIDS, the odds stay constant, which is a crazy assumption, especially as it's such a rare even we don't possibly have enough data to verify it.
[1]http://filmer.blogspot.com/2003/05/richard-feynman-erik-red-earl-henry.html http://filmer.blogspot.com/2003/05/richard-feynman-erik-red-...