3 ms·
> Sugar in fruit juice may raise risk of cancer So - in short - "Sugar MAY raise RISK of cancer"...? I bet breathing the air while sitting in traffic does wor
by cr0sh 7y ago
> Sugar in fruit juice may raise risk of cancer
So - in short - "Sugar MAY raise RISK of cancer"...?
I bet breathing the air while sitting in traffic does worse for you.
But honestly - what and how much are we really talking about?
Due to the way things are phrased, and how people don't really understand probabilities, these kinds of articles seem more to be fear mongering to sell papers and advertisements than anything else.
What stands out in my mind is the "simple" examples - for some reason, always using cancer as the thing - given for Bayes theorem:
https://betterexplained.com/articles/an-intuitive-and-short-explanation-of-bayes-theorem/ https://betterexplained.com/articles/an-intuitive-and-short-...
...and when you work out the numbers, rather than the scary numbers you see in these kinds of articles, you find that the actual changes in percentages, mathematically, are so small as to be laughable.
Or maybe I'm conflating two things that have nothing to do with each other?
The dead-simple fact is, none of us are getting out of this alive.
Enjoy your life, don't become a sugar-abstaining ascetic for the low-probable chance to live an extra day, if that. But don't consume candy bars as a wholesome diet, either. Everything in moderation, including moderation, as the old saw goes.