Prediction is hard, especially about the future! What's clear is the data about the recent past, and the trends are very good, both for accidental and delibera

Prediction is hard, especially about the future! What's clear is the data about the recent past, and the trends are very good, both for accidental and deliberate death (among other things) on a time-scale of decades to centuries. There are indeed some reversals (in the last few years: some kinds of crime, pedestrian deaths, opioids) which the optimists hope will be short-lived.