There's also the point that to play a cynical game with religious belief in order to maximise your outcome, would probably annoy most so-far posited gods a lot

There's also the point that to play a cynical game with religious belief in order to maximise your outcome, would probably annoy most so-far posited gods a lot more than an honest skeptic. edit - there would be much variation in approach however. The Greek gods would tend towards maximising poetic irony and unusual animal husbandry practices, whereas Jehova would probably just smite Pascal with boils.