3 ms·
general background info https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cascadia_subduction_zone https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cascadia_subduction_zone An important detail is:
by tejtm 7y ago
general background info
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cascadia_subduction_zone https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cascadia_subduction_zone
An important detail is:
```
forty-one subduction zone earthquakes on the Cascadia subduction zone in the past 10,000 years, suggesting a general average earthquake recurrence interval of only 243 years
```
With the last being in the year 1700 which puts the next firmly in the overdue with respect to average interval but not beyond the range of observed variance.
Infrastructure related folks in the area might want to look into
https://www.shakealert.org/ https://www.shakealert.org/
- b_tterc_p 7y agoThe average is surprisingly unimportant for rare event detection like this. The San Andreas fault, for instance, is overdue by that logic. But it could easily be decades away from another big one. Coincidentally Wikipedia suggests the San Andreas daily erupted today?