Isn't what you just said exactly the opposite of coincidence? A coincidence is two or more separate events that happen without an apparent or predictable causa

Isn't what you just said exactly the opposite of coincidence? A coincidence is two or more separate events that happen without an apparent or predictable causal link. So the fact the odds are high that this type of situation could occur (which I agree with) means it is predictable and has an apparent causal link with an associated probability. e.g. team A doesn't get notifications so they can't fix a server issue is a pretty high prediction of a future failure for that team. So it is cause and effect, with the associated probability. A coincidence would be you and I have the same birthday, we can associate a probability to that but there is no apparent causal link for why we would have the same birthday.