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> ABSURDLY dangerous driving is already It's very dangerous in some places in the world. Majority of deaths are happening in places with poor infrastructure[1]
by justapassenger 7y ago
> ABSURDLY dangerous driving is already
It's very dangerous in some places in the world. Majority of deaths are happening in places with poor infrastructure[1], that autonomous vehicles are very far away from being able to handle. For current state of AV, bar it has to meet and exceed are places with good infrastructure, fairly new cars and reasonably good driving culture, as those are first targets of rollout.
For example, in Phoenix, AZ, about 250 people die per year from accidents[2], with about 9k miles driven per person[3] and metropolitan area having 4.7m people, to just match human levels AVs to have less than 1 fatality per 170 million miles driven.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_traffic-related_death_rate https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_traffic-r...
[2] http://www.city-data.com/accidents/acc-Phoenix-Arizona.html http://www.city-data.com/accidents/acc-Phoenix-Arizona.html
[3] https://arizonapirgedfund.org/sites/pirg/files/reports/FINAL%20Bikes%2C%20Trains%20%26%20Less%20Driving%207-14.pdf https://arizonapirgedfund.org/sites/pirg/files/reports/FINAL...
- userbinator 7y agoMajority of deaths are happening in places with poor infrastructure[1], that autonomous vehicles are very far away from being able to handle. In other words, it's still more like a better cruise control: it makes the easy part of driving easier, but doesn't help with the hard parts (and may make them even harder.)